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ROBERTO JBILI MARKET TIMING INDICATOR The Modern Indicator is using special insight into market movments from point of technical view, Roberto Jbili beleive that technical analysis does not exist and chart is just reflection of Market activity created by traders from point of fundamental view. The indicatore rotate patterns in first place when conditions of it are opposite of it since conditions will create same activity by same market particpants For example, each economic cycle has 2 parts, bull market, bear market, let say actual economic cycle which is commoditiy cycle, when it was bull, the price of oil was up from 30 to 150. in Roberto Jbili view the pattern isnide the chart will drawn in same way of the bull market but in a rotate way when it came to bear market to indicate movments. The reason which made oil from 30 to 150 will made it again from 150 to 30, let say that price of Oil was up doing to Geo-Political risk and problems in Iraq, It will be down doin to the same reason in opposite way, the Geo-political stability will bring oil down, economic recovery which created demand and which was storng doing to economic fundamentals, the eco recovery bringed oil up from 30 to 150, same reason in opposite way or in other words weak demand doing to weak economic fundamentals will bring oil down, price of gold which was up doing to demand and geo-risk and which helped to push oil higher will bring oil down doing to geo-risk stability and weak commercial demand, currencies import and export activity is the same thing. Trade balance for example if it was weak during bull market of commodity will be strong during bear market of commoditiy I am talking about USA Trade balance. But for USD if trade balance has possitive impact on exchnage rate againest other major currencies it will have negative impact during bear market of commodities. The explination is that trade balance during bull markets of commoditiy cycles is weak doing to bear of oil and huge price of oil and cost of oil import, this mean that paying more for oil mean more demand for industries and export mean healthly economic conditions,balance down, USD is up. At bear market cost of oil import is cheap, but the reason is weak oil demand doing to weak industrial activity which mean lower taxes and lower GDP spending and lower sap companies return, balance strong, USD Down. This is the motivation which will help create the pattern which is inidcated to have. Same patterns of Bull market, we rotate it to indicate exact direction of Bear market Same traders in same activity, which buy for the reason a will sell same for the opposite of same reason. Note: when you roatat chart in opposite way, please rotate main chart patterns for long term. Also for Short Term pattern can be roatated to obtsain short term direction like:
Roberto Jbili Modern Fundamental Timing Indicator
THE BLUE PATTERN REPATED ITSELF IN OPPOSITE WAY, PATTERN B IN CHART 2 WAS UP DOING TO OIL LOWS, ROSE PATTERN WILL BE DOWN SAME OF B DOING TO OIL HIGH, ROTATE PATTERN B BLUE WE SEE FUTURE OF ROSE PATTERN MOVE. Example: When Same Fundamental Reason of Pattern Rise change to opposite situation, we rotate or make the pattern in opposite way. For example if a pattern in a chart show an rise of 10% in the USD/CAD backed by Oil rise or doing to Oil rise, then the CAD start to drop doing to the fall in oil price, we return to the same pattern of Oil rise, we rotate it and make it in opposite way to obtain since Oil is in opposite situation, after rotate we obtain the detailed pattern direction to trade the same pattern on successful speculative short term basis. Charts Explication The Blue marked pattern show in A chart and B is the same in the B chart it show the USD up against the CAD, from 1.03 to 1.30 during Sep to Oct 2008. The reason for the CAD drop is the drop in Oil price in same period since CAD is an Oil currency valued and priced , Canada contain 2 largest Oil reserve. Oil lost more than third of his value at same period which was priced into CAD also As Canada Has little money from Oil or Canada Oil reserves value is less, the oil reserve value is shown on all Canadian Banknote it has little value to obtain with it another currency since it became less wealthily backed. The Rose Chart Shown on Chart B start is Shown drop of the USD against the CAD, Reason is Gain in Oil from 35 to 67 Usual traders study oil direction to indicate the pattern direction, Since patterns repeat itself like an Medical Chart of a Currency Heart, we repeat to same pattern in Blue which was backed by oil fall we convert he chart to opposite, we see all the pattern future direction and predict oil Direction.
The pattern B in Chart B
represent the activity which made the Cad lower, this activity is you can reffer to one of our analysis like : http://www.forexinvestor.net/analysis/marketsspecialinsight.htm Again each cycle has 2 parts first part is bull the 2 is bear, during bull there may be 2 corrections, during bear there may be 2 rallies, it same amount of activity in each cycle part. wach cycle part activity is oppossite of 2 part, if we rotate patterns of each part (corrections or rallies) we obtain the 2 one. 1-I rotate pattern of 1 st bull market correction to obtain the pattern or direction of pattern in 1 st bear market rally via same players reasons but in opposite way.
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