|
FOR FULL CURRENCY MARKETS ANALYSIS PLEASE TAKE A LOOK AT OUR ANALYSIS SECTION
LOCATED
HERE
FOR FULL CURRENCY MARKETS ANALYSIS PLEASE TAKE A LOOK AT OUR ANALYSIS SECTION
LOCATED
HERE
ANALYSIS BY ROBERTO JBILI
Poiltical Insight
The rise of oil from 35 to 75 levels which we forecasted before was
supported by financial support over credit crises from Europe to USA
which helped to start the bear market rally and was confirmed by oil
demand.
I am talking about hundrends of billions of USD given from Europe
and Japan to USA to help the global economy from possible crash over
credit crises.
Today, the Oil is heading as all of us know to above 125 USD from
here, we provide new cash generation analysis to double your money
and profit again, the Oil will be going to 88 USD then it will drop
to 75 USD then it will rise to 100 USD before an drop to 88 USD and
final rally to above 125 USD for the next 10 years.
The oil rally came by Russian demand for cash, as we was in bear
market with credit crises which lowered demand for Oil and for
Russian income from commodities, Russia was nervos and in need for
cash, it asked Europe,
Europe asked USA to make oil higher to void terror attacks by Russia
like 11 Septmber attacks, Europe gave hundreds of billions to USA to
move market and to make demand for Oil by moving global economy by
cash which will start later
by year end with a lot of FX activity which will lower USD value and
promote exports and this indicate that republic party lead the globe
since same strategy is in place.
The cash produced and will produce business activity and bear market
conditions which support demand for Oil.
Today the Nuke news from Iran confirm that Europe is again afraid
and USA is Worry and Oil in such us situation will be going higher
to satisfy Russian demand for more income from Oil.
Oil may go higher to above 100 USD by an large terror attack which
can be voided or by an Israeli strike over Iran Nuke Site.
The Oil rise confirm that Euro is going to 1.65 levels and it is the
right time for speculators like Soros to return on the GBP trading
which will rise sharply with CAD.
Markets will be going higher after an short drop from 10.000 levels
to below 9000 to build later an rally sustained above 10.000 this
rally will be made by Oil sector.
The latest Jobs reports which will be corrected later confirm that
USA is not afraid from Russia with thanks to ABM program the problem
remain in Europe and Brown was sending us clear signals with Germany
in the photo taken in last meeting that Germany will help Europe to
void an large Russian Nuke Strike to destroy London or at last may
terror attacks awaited by Global experts.
USA asked for cash to escape London from possible terror attack and
an return for large spending in Iraq which UK benefited alone, the
Jobs report came in wrong numbers to Show Europe (USA) that it has
no problems with Russia and it does not
want oil higher and that Russia Nuke news became an European Problem
after the large spending in Iraq and Since UK want USA to spend
again and again in Iran and to benefit alone.
/7 To note..USA got hundrends of billions of USD given from Europe
and Japan to USA to help the global economy from possible crash over
credit crises, it got it part from the Globe.../7
Germany came with strong numbers....
Germany last Economic Fundamental reports and data confirm to Russia
that Oil will be going up and that there is an demand for Oil by
largest German business makers, again..USA is not afraid from Russia
and is asking for nothing, if markets wanted to go UP, the white
house want cash in the markets, Jobs reports came less than
forecasted.
The EC will remain the Middle Man between Russia and USA and Germany
will remain best to play this role.
Markets Direction
The last rise of stock markets to 10.000 levels was not observed in
JPY exchange rate VS Dollar, The Carry trade activity was not found
and YEN was not down.
In usual trading the YEN was to go above 1.01 VS USD (today is
traded below 0.90) with the Dow rally and this confirm that we are
and we remain in deep economic conditons and that last rally in
stock markets which will last for a period of time is Just a breath.
The Gold rise confirm that there is an Real Estate problems in real
Valuation and some concern about fundamental economic conditions
which control the real estate prices.
The markets was going to 10.000 levels from fundamental point of
view and via positive reports which confirm this activity which
includes consumer and business confidence.
The point was that this reports was not found in last jobs reports
but anyway, it confirm that the rally in stock market is strong and
fundamental and is not based on carry trade and speculation since
the JPY was UP and not Down.
The industrial activity will produce Oil demand and will be priced
into Oil price on the upside, among with market rally after a short
correction, this will produce many picks which includes Commodities
Currencies and Carry trade one.
Trading picks
CAD/JPY
WILL BE GOING TO AROUND 100 LEVELS
CAD
IS GOING TO AROUND 100 VS JPY, THE BLUE MARKED ZONE IN THE CHART
CONFIRM FUTURE PATTERNS AND CONFIRM DEEP GLOBAL POLITICAL PROBLEMS
BETWEEN USA & RUSSIA, JAPAN SUSTAINED RUSSIA OVER SOROS, LIMITED
CARRY TRADE AND CAUSED JPY DROP BY JAPAN CENTRAL BANK AFTER AIRPLANE
CRASH MADE BY CIA OVER JAPAN TIES WITH RUSSIA. 11 SEPTEMBER ATTACKS
WILL REMAIN RSPONSE BY RUSSIA OVER HEROSHIMA RISK.
JAPAN HAS TAKED THE SIGNAL OF AIRPLANE CRASH BY CIA USA LIKE
HEROSHIMA, THE YEN INSTEAD TO GO DOWN WITH DOW TO 10.000 IT WAS
GOING UP TO BELOW 0.90 INSTEAD OF 1.10
I
REMAIN CONFIDENT THAT JPY WILL RISE FROM BELOW 0.88 LEVELS WITH DOW
GOING ABOVE 10.000 FROM BELOW 9000
AUD/CHF
WILL BE GOING TO AROUND 1 LEVELS
NZD/CAD
LONG TERM REMAIN 1.55 LEVELS, SHORT RUN SEEN AT 1.38.
NZD/USD
DROP FROM 0.75 (TIMED BY DOW 10.000) TO 0.62 THEN AN RALLY YO 0.80 LEVELS.
I
CAN DESCRIBE THE NZD MISSION TO TOUCH THE 0.80 LEVELS BEFORE
THE DROP LIKE THE DOW TO TOUCH THE 10.000 LEVELS, WHEN NZD IS
CLOSE TO RECORD, OIL IS CLOSE TO ABOVE 130.
THE CHART WILL BE THE FUTURE DIRECTION OF OIL OR OIL CHART.
USD/CAD
TO 0.90 LEVELS AS CONFIRMED BEFORE.
GBP/USD
TO ABOVE 1.75 LEVELS.
OIL
TO 88 THEN 75 THEN 100 THEN 88 THEN 130
GOLD
AS RUSSIA START TO MOVE NUKE FILES IN IRAN & KOREA, WE ARE
VERY CLOSE TO A NEW RECORD HIGH.
DOW
TO BELOW 9000 FROM 10.000 THEN WILL BUILD ABOVE 10.000.
MAIN FX ANALYSIS CAN BE FOUND ON
WWW.GLOBALCURRENCYMARKETS.COM




|